Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.849598 0.994039 1.155423 1.349103 1.575276 1.831115 2.142613
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.654919 0.856868 1.108577 1.445419 1.884706 2.438705 3.191512
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.534145 0.756897 1.057062 1.491250 2.103961 2.939059 4.166501
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.443934 0.671147 0.997329 1.499922 2.256064 3.353688 5.073220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.373484 0.597049 0.935982 1.487461 2.364237 3.708017 5.932211
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.320833 0.539085 0.886467 1.479877 2.470989 4.065489 6.837608
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.283319 0.498184 0.855690 1.494115 2.609447 4.484934 7.895112
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.241555 0.442974 0.792142 1.441808 2.624968 4.697561 8.625786
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.229893 0.438498 0.814271 1.540836 2.916560 5.420505 10.354293
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.200137 0.396136 0.762189 1.496040 2.937421 5.657111 11.215718
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.174094 0.356897 0.710198 1.443215 2.933865 5.844266 12.002747
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.153017 0.324362 0.666499 1.399965 2.941764 6.051665 12.853746
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140795 0.308729 0.655307 1.423310 3.092735 6.572851 14.444018
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.136611 0.309653 0.678510 1.522837 3.419443 7.502841 17.046781
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128286 0.300204 0.678234 1.570989 3.640727 8.237354 19.325629
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117869 0.284423 0.661777 1.580117 3.774886 8.796997 21.285773
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107140 0.266283 0.637378 1.566988 3.854678 9.242129 23.037613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097970 0.250560 0.616431 1.558998 3.945267 9.723578 24.945801
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.091136 0.239645 0.605495 1.573998 4.094336 10.364519 27.343959
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081225 0.219420 0.568917 1.518893 4.057952 10.542683 28.579328
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.080323 0.222768 0.592366 1.623219 4.451251 11.861434 33.017741
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.072321 0.205772 0.560766 1.576026 4.432811 12.107102 34.581294
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064816 0.189079 0.527765 1.520375 4.383401 12.263642 35.920428